Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.308804e-05 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067 0.000077 0.000087 0.000099
2025-01-26 3.270438e-05 0.000042 0.000052 0.000065 0.000080 0.000096 0.000116
2025-02-02 2.767476e-05 0.000038 0.000051 0.000067 0.000086 0.000109 0.000137
2025-02-09 2.297087e-05 0.000034 0.000048 0.000067 0.000090 0.000118 0.000153
2025-02-16 2.104371e-05 0.000033 0.000049 0.000071 0.000099 0.000133 0.000177
2025-02-23 1.792752e-05 0.000030 0.000047 0.000070 0.000102 0.000140 0.000192
2025-03-02 1.438671e-05 0.000026 0.000043 0.000067 0.000100 0.000143 0.000200
2025-03-09 1.189247e-05 0.000023 0.000040 0.000065 0.000100 0.000146 0.000209
2025-03-16 9.951213e-06 0.000021 0.000038 0.000064 0.000101 0.000151 0.000220
2025-03-23 8.497230e-06 0.000019 0.000036 0.000063 0.000103 0.000156 0.000232
2025-03-30 7.179804e-06 0.000017 0.000034 0.000062 0.000104 0.000161 0.000243
2025-04-06 5.861914e-06 0.000015 0.000032 0.000060 0.000103 0.000163 0.000250
2025-04-13 4.440063e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000057 0.000101 0.000165 0.000258
2025-04-20 3.430824e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000055 0.000102 0.000169 0.000270
2025-04-27 3.014074e-06 0.000011 0.000027 0.000057 0.000107 0.000181 0.000293
2025-05-04 2.453596e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000057 0.000110 0.000189 0.000309
2025-05-11 2.318829e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000061 0.000118 0.000205 0.000339
2025-05-18 1.883249e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000060 0.000120 0.000213 0.000356
2025-05-25 1.344661e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000057 0.000118 0.000213 0.000363
2025-06-01 9.944017e-07 0.000007 0.000022 0.000056 0.000118 0.000216 0.000373
2025-06-08 7.393832e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000054 0.000118 0.000220 0.000385
2025-06-15 5.630134e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000119 0.000226 0.000400
2025-06-22 4.126902e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000053 0.000120 0.000231 0.000413